Avalanche Advisory for Tuckerman and Huntington Ravines
Posted: 8:24 a.m., Sunday, December 30, 2007

Tuckerman Ravine has CONSIDERABLE and MODERATE avalanche danger today. Hillman's Highway, Left Gully, the Headwall, the Bowl, the Lip, and Right Gully all have Considerable avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are possible and human triggered avalanches are probable. Be increasingly cautious in steeper terrain. The Little Headwall and Lower Snowfields have Moderate avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Use caution in steeper terrain.

Huntington Ravine has CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger today. Natural avalanches are possible and human triggered avalanches are probable. Be increasingly cautious in steeper terrain.

It seems as though December wants to end with a strong finish this year. With above average snowfall this month and more anticipated before New Year's Day, we're building quite an early season snowpack. Although we're entering a bit of a lull in the weather, today's avalanche danger will remain elevated. The potential for human triggered avalanches is what's driving today's Considerable rating. Yesterday brought only 1.8" (4.6cm) of snow to the Summit, while Hermit Lake picked up 3.9" (10cm) of high-density (19%) snow. While this wasn't a very big storm, as frequently is the case here the winds have been able to move a lot of snow around the mountain and into the ravines. The Summit has recorded blowing snow consistently since the snowfall ended at about 8:30am yesterday, with winds gusting to 92mph (147kph). Currently here at Hermit Lake it appears to be snowing, though it's most likely snow that's being blown off the upper mountain. Winds today are already on the decline, so we expect new loading to taper off soon. Without additional loading, the potential for natural avalanche activity drops. However, unstable slabs have been able to develop over the past 24 hours, and they are waiting for an added load to push them beyond the point of failure. Today's Considerable rating reflects the potential for a hiker, climber, or skier to give the snowpack the additional load it needs to create an avalanche.

All areas of Huntington Ravine have Considerable danger; however, a variety of surfaces might be found there today. This morning's poor visibility didn't offer much in the way of visual clues to what the winds did to the snow in Huntington. As clearing takes place this afternoon, you might find the snow scoured down to old surface, packed into hard slabs, or sitting in the bottom of the gullies as a pile of avalanche debris. In the absence of bulls-eye information leading you to believe things are stable, you should be conservative with your plans. Similar to Tuckerman Ravine, existing slabs might just need the additional load of a human (e.g. an ice climber) to tip the scales enough to cause an avalanche.

After today's relatively calm weather, a quick double-shot of snow is expected for Monday and Tuesday. Both of these systems should bring mostly snow, but we can't yet rule out a bit of mixed precipitation. From what I can gather, we will probably receive enough snow to keep the avalanche danger elevated for the next couple of days. As always, we'll be closely monitoring the situation.

The John Sherburne Ski Trail is open with continuous snow from top to bottom. Expect good snow over a stiff base. THE LION HEAD WINTER ROUTE IS OPEN. This is a steep and challenging route for mountaineers. Crampons, an ice axe and the ability to properly use this equipment are recommended for safe travel on this route.

Please Remember:
•   It is impossible to accurately predict natural events, such as avalanches, in every instance. This Advisory is one tool to help you make your own decisions in avalanche terrain. It should be used along with safe travel techniques, snow stability assessments, an understanding of weather's effect on the snowpack, and proficiency in avalanche rescue.
 
•   You should obtain the latest weather forecast before heading into the mountains. Anticipate a changing avalanche danger when actual weather differs from the National Weather Service forecast.
 
•   For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers or the AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters or the HMC caretaker at the Harvard Cabin. This advisory will expire at midnight.

Jeff Lane, Snow Ranger
USDA Forest Service
White Mountain National Forest
(603) 466-2713 TTY (603) 466-2856
 
This is the Official Tuckerman Ravine website.  Occasionally the remoteness of Tuckerman Ravine, weather, or communication problems prevent the website from being updated immediately.  Check the date, and if it is not the most recent, you can also call the National Forest Service's 24 hour avalanche hotline at (603) 466-2713 (ext. 4)

Avalanche Advisory Archives.

United States Avalanche Danger Descriptions.

Échelle Canadienne de risque d’avalanche.

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