| Posted: 8:52 a.m., Friday, February 15, 2008 |
Huntington Ravine has Moderate avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Use caution in steep terrain.
From a snow science and pit digging point of view, we currently have an interesting and variable snowpack with multiple buried layers to look at. However, the real story for today's stability revolves around the uppermost crust layer and how it will interact with new snow being blown into the ravines. Yesterday blowing snow was evident throughout the day, yet in our afternoon field observations we found the blowing snow was having a very difficult time sticking to the crust. Today we will also see blowing snow, both from the 0.8" (2cm) of new snow that fell on the summit early this morning as well as from an additional 1-2" (2.5-5cm) expected to fall later this morning. This new snow will be escorted in on increasing winds, from SW 50-60mph (80-96kph) shifting and increasing to W 60-80mph (96-129kph). Whether this new snow is capable of sticking to the crust is going to be the question of the day, and will determine whether we are at the lower end of the Moderate rating or the upper end of the rating. If it is able to hang on, we'll see touchy slabs developing that should be reactive to human triggers. If this situation plays out to its full potential, the danger rating may push upward and approach Considerable as the chances of a person triggering a slab increase. On the other hand, if it has a difficult time sticking around and the crust remains the dominant surface, we'll be at the lower end of the Moderate rating. Even in this scenario, expect some sheltered areas to hold onto the snow. These areas will be smaller and less widespread than in the previously mentioned scenario. You will know the difference between the crust and newer snow as you walk around, the old crust will be crunchy and may be supportive, but in some places you'll be breaking through and sinking to your knees into the unconsolidated snow underneath. In general I would expect Huntington to have a more difficult time holding onto the snow than Tuckerman and thus stay on the lower end of Moderate. However, instabilities may exist on the approaches and travel options in Huntington are more limited once you are committed to a climb.
As is frequently the case, spatial variability is a key factor today. New slabs will be developing differently from one location to another. The thickness and texture of the underlying crust varies from location to location as well. With all this in mind, reasonable travel options through the ravines are available with good route finding skills. Avoiding any newer slabs in favor of the older crust is advisable. Punching through the crust may not be the easiest travel option, but it's better than triggering a slab avalanche. Keep avalanche safety in mind when you find yourself wanting to spare your shins from further suffering by getting out into the softer snow.
As always, crampons, an ice axe, and solid self arrest skills are recommended for travel in steep terrain. This includes the Lion Head Winter Route. The Sherburne Ski Trail is open with a nasty breakable crust. Thankfully, a few brave martyrs have already begun to break up the crust and improve the skiing for the rest of us. If you are planning a trip up this weekend, bring lots of warm clothing. It's going to get COLD! Be sure to check the Weekend Update this afternoon on our website tuckerman.org for our latest thoughts on conditions for the weekend.
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Avalanche Advisory Archives.
United States Avalanche Danger Descriptions.
Échelle Canadienne de risque d’avalanche.
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