7:20 a.m., Tuesday, November 5, 2002 Winter sure seems to be establishing itself in the mountains! SNOW, SNOW, SNOW!! If you haven't already been reviewing your avalanche skills get going, winter is here. Be prepared and well practiced in snow stability assessment, travel in avalanche terrain, and avalanche rescue. This is an early season GENERAL ADVISORY. Use of the 5 scale avalanche rating system will begin when conditions warrant. Until then new advisories will be issued as needed. Check csac.org frequently as we move through November and certainly check the latest avalanche advisory before heading into avalanche terrain. As of midnight we have received 11.8 inches of snow since Friday afternoon. 7 inches fell Friday night, 1.6 Saturday, and 3.2 from yesterday afternoon to 12:00 am last night. Over the weekend, pulses of precipitation were associated with NW winds from 40-80 mph with a max gust on Friday of 95. Between shots of snow winds shifted to come from the SW and W, but generally held from the NW during precipitation. Over the past 24 hours winds moved from WSW to the NW during light precipitation and are expected to move to the North later today and subside to 20 mph with scattered snow showers. THERE IS A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY WITH 6 INCHES OR MORE EXPECTED FOR THE VALLEYS WITH RAIN POSSIBLE NEAR THE TAIL END OF THE PRECIPITATION. WHETHER OR NOT WE RECEIVE RAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO TELL, BUT EXPECT THE PROBABILITY FOR HEAVIER SNOW AFTER LIGHTER SNOW HAS ALREADY FALLEN. THIS MAY MAKE FOR A CLASSIC UNSTABLE 'INVERTED' SNOWPACK, ESPECIALLY IF WE DO END IN RAIN. W and NW winds have continued to load new snow onto small snowfields high in Left Gully, the Chute, high on the north or right side of Tuckerman, and up on the E and NE side of the summit cone. These snowfields, as well as, exposed ice are the most likely areas for possible avalanche activity during the next series of weather makers. Ice develops rapidly each fall in both Ravines and often act as an excellent sliding layer for avalanches to occur. Remember if the snowfield is large enough to ski or recreate on it's large enough to avalanche. Approach early season snowfields with skepticism and be conservative while on them, near them, or in their runout zones. Be aware that a small slab or sluff can be very dangerous. This is particularly true in the steep gullies and slopes of Tuckerman and Huntington Ravines for early season ice climbers. As a climber picks their way through a route they will usually cross small pockets of snow. Often this snow has deposited over blue ice, making for a poor bond at the interface. Consider this ahead of time and place protection before crossing suspect slopes. It doesn't take much snow to knock you off your feet and depending how high you are this could be a considerable problem. We are absolutely in early winter in the high mountains so don't plan on being able to follow summer trails safely. Trails going through Ravines and Gulfs are buried with snow in many areas and require winter gear, i.e. winter clothes, ice axe, crampons, avalanche beacons, shovels, and probes. So, winter is here! Don't wait any longer to refresh your avalanche skills. Pull out your beacon and practice, ONLY YOU CAN SAVE YOUR BUDDY!! Review your safe travel rules, techniques for assessing snow stability, and sign up for an avalanche course. We will have all the avalanche courses offered in the valley this winter on our website, csac.org very soon. PLEASE REMEMBER: o Any new precipitation may increase the avalanche danger, this includes wind transported snow. o Obtain latest weather forecast before starting out. o For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers: AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters. o This General Avalanche Bulletin will be updated as needed. Christopher Joosen, Snow Ranger USDA Forest Service White Mountain National Forest