10:21 a.m., Monday, November 18, 2002 A U.S. 5 SCALE DANGER RATING AVALANCHE BULLETIN IS ISSUED FOR TODAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING POSTED BY THE NWS STANDS THROUGH THIS MORNING. We will likely go back and forth between General Advisories and 5 scale ratings until we need to go to a daily bulletin. If a 5 scale bulletin is issued it expires at midnight on the day of issue and you can expect another bulletin the following morning. When a General Advisory is posted another bulletin may or may not be issued the following day depending on conditions. Climbers heading into Huntington should check the avalanche bulletin before leaving Pinkham Notch or Hermit Lake each morning. Until the Harvard Cabin opens on December 1st the avalanche bulletin will not be posted there due to no campers being there overnight. TUCKERMAN AND HUNTINGTON RAVINE HAVE CONSIDERABLE AVALANCHE DANGER TODAY. EXPECT AN INCREASING AVALANCHE DANGER THROUGH THE DAY. It certaily feels like winter up here in the Ravine. Temperatures are plummiting, the wind is moving a lot of snow and the visibility is very low. With last nights rain and dropping tempeatures an ice crust has formed. In lee areas the snow should bond to this crust reasonably well, as the crust is still realatively warm. In these areas we can expect avalanche activity to occur within the newly deposited wind slab layers above the ice interface. However, in areas where the wind has exposed this ice crust, it will become colder and thicker with the dropping tempeatures. As the winds shift and load new aspects with snow onto this cold crust, we are more likely to see avalanche activity at the interface of the ice crust and the newly deposited snow. Areas of most concern are those that already have significant existing snowfields before this storm. These pockets offer new snow a bed surface to avalanche on compared to brush or rock dominated areas. The largest areas are still in Tuckerman Ravine. Left Gully, the Chute, and areas North towards the Sluice do have sizeable snowfields. Isolated patches in the Huntington Gullies also offer good potential bed surfaces. Remember if the snowfield is large enough to ski or recreate on it's large enough to avalanche. AS ALWAYS, THIS BULLETIN IS ONE MORE TOOL TO HELP YOU MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS IN AVALANCHE TERRAIN. It should be used along with your own snow stability assessments, knowledge of safe travel techniques, skill in mountain weather's effect on the snowpack, and avalanche rescue. Pull out your beacon and practice, ONLY YOU CAN SAVE YOUR PARTNER!! Review your safe travel rules, techniques for assessing snow stability, and sign up for an avalanche course. We have all the avalanche courses offered in the valley this winter on our website, csac.org. PLEASE REMEMBER: o Any new precipitation may increase the avalanche danger, this includes wind transported snow. o Obtain latest weather forecast before starting out. o For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers: AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters. o This Avalanche Bulletin expires at midnight. Brian Johnston, Snow Ranger USDA Forest Service White Mountain National Forest