9:56 a.m., Saturday, December 7, 2002 TUCKERMAN RAVINE CURRENTLY HAS LOW AND MODERATE AVALANCHE DANGER. The Little Headwall and the Lower Snowfields have LOW avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are very unlikely and human triggered avalanches are unlikely except in isolated pockets on steep snow covered open slopes and gullies. Normal caution is advised. All other areas in Tuckerman have MODERATE avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE on steep snow covered open slopes and gullies. Use caution in steeper terrain. However, realize that we have just come down from the Considerable rating from the past few days. Cold temperatures have kept the settling and snow sintering process to a snails pace this week. So stay alert and understand we are on the upper end of the Moderate rating in many locations. HUNTINGTON RAVINE HAS LOW AND MODERATE AVALANCHE DANGER. Central and South gullies have MODERATE avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE on steep snow covered open slopes and gullies. All other gullies in Huntington have LOW avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are very unlikely and human triggered avalanches unlikely except in isolated pockets on steep snow covered open slopes and gullies. Normal caution is advised. These pockets DO exist so put your avalanche skills to work in the Ravine. The summit received under an inch of new 5% snow over the past 24 hours. As we discussed yesterday the forecasted winds became reality almost to a tee. We had 50 mph winds around sunset which contributed to some pockets of new loading, mainly on East and SE facing pockets. You may find some touchy soft slab over loose snow in isolated locations. Temperatures are warming considerably today and are currently at 28 degrees F. This warming trend is expected to last through tomorrow before another arctic front moves in Sunday night. Warmer temps should continue to help the snowpack settle over the next 24-36 hours. THE LION HEAD SUMMER TRAIL BELOW TREELINE HAS BEEN SHUT DOWN FOR THE WINTER DUE TO THE STEEP SNOWFIELD TRAVERSE NEAR TREELINE. THE SUMMER TRAIL AREA WILL AVALANCHE WITH ENOUGH NEW LOADING THROUGH THE WINTER. THE WINTER LION HEAD ROUTE IS NOW OPEN. IT LEAVES FROM THE HUNTINGTON FIRE ROAD AND HAS ORANGE SIGNS STARTING ON THE TUCKERMAN RAVINE TRAIL AT ROUGHLY THE 1.8 MILE MARK. IT IS STEEP AND CHALLENGING, CRAMPONS, AN ICE AXE, AND THE ABILITY TO USE THEM WITH SKILL ARE REQUIRED FOR SAFE TRAVEL. We have been looking at some of the mistakes made during the avalanche accidents last weekend here in the bulletin. The intent is that we can all learn from these events to prevent future accidents and be better prepared as backcountry users in avalanche terrain. I hope it has been a bit helpful and clarified an few topics. I think one of the most important part of winning the avalanche game is knowing yourself. Know what makes YOU tick and why YOU make the decisions YOU do. Be honest with yourself and your avalanche skills. If you really don't have the skills yet and you're still learning be conservative on days when instability exists. A skilled, experienced avalanche terrain user may be safer on a Considerable rating day using all the tricks than the traveler new to avalanches traveling on a Low rated day. The person who doesn't know what to look out for may wander into a Low "isolated pocket" and may trigger a small, but deadly avalanche. Is this person you? If it is stay out of avalanche terrain as you build you skills on lower angle slopes or under the guidance of someone who has avalanche skills. Know your skill level and use the backcountry accordingly. I hope you all have a great safe winter and learn more about avalanches in the process. AS ALWAYS, THIS ADVISORY IS ONE MORE TOOL TO HELP YOU MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS IN AVALANCHE TERRAIN. It should be used along with your own snow stability assessments, knowledge of safe travel techniques, skill in mountain weather's effect on the snowpack, and avalanche rescue. Pull out your beacon, probe, and shovel and practice, pracTICE!, PRACTICE!!, PRACTICE!!! ONLY YOU CAN SAVE YOUR PARTNER!! Sign up for an avalanche course. We have all the avalanche courses offered in the valley this winter on our website, csac.org. PLEASE REMEMBER: o Any new precipitation may increase the avalanche danger, this includes wind transported snow. o Obtain latest weather forecast before starting out. o For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers: AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters. o This avalanche bulletin will expire at midnight. Christopher Joosen, Snow Ranger USDA Forest Service White Mountain National Forest