8:54 a.m., Saturday, January 4, 2003 Tuckerman Ravine has MODERATE AND HIGH avalanche danger. The Little Headwall has Moderate avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. All other areas in Tuckerman Ravine are forecasted as HIGH avalanche danger. Natural and human triggerd avalanches are likely. Unstable slabs are likely on a variety of aspects and slope angles. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. Huntington Ravine is forecasted to have HIGH avalanche danger. Natural and human triggered avalanches are likely. Unstable slabs are likely on a variety of aspects and slope angles. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. The storm that is effecting New England has brought us 6 inches (15 cm) of snow at a density of 8% as of 0600. We currently have 8 inches (20 cm)as of 0800 here at Hermit Lake. As these figures indicate, it is currently snowing at a rate of one inch (2.5 cm) per hour. The snow has come in with E winds and are expected to shift to the NE later today. Eventually the winds will be shifting around to the NW, however, we don't expect this to occur during daylight hours. Though currently (0800) the avalanche danger is not quite at High, we do expect it to get there soon with the on going heavy snowfall and NE winds creating slab conditions. The largest concern with the current conditions is the ongoing cross-loading of gullies and snow slopes. This storm system may stall over us for a while and snow showers are forecasted through the weekend. So we should continue to pick up appreciable new snow over the next couple of days. With this in mind, don't expect the avalanche danger to come down very fast. AS ALWAYS, THIS ADVISORY IS ONE MORE TOOL TO HELP YOU MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS IN AVALANCHE TERRAIN. It should be used along with your own snow stability assessments, knowledge of safe travel techniques, skill in mountain weather's effect on the snowpack, and avalanche rescue. THE WINTER LION HEAD ROUTE IS OPEN. THE ROUTE LEAVES FROM THE HUNTINGTON FIRE ROAD AND HAS ORANGE SIGNS STARTING ON THE TUCKERMAN RAVINE TRAIL AT ROUGHLY THE 1.8 MILE MARK. IT IS A STEEP AND CHALLENGING ROUTE. CRAMPONS, AN ICE AXE, AND THE ABILITY TO USE THEM WITH SKILL ARE REQUIRED FOR SAFE TRAVEL. The John Sherburne ski trail is coming along, however, waterbars, rocks, brush and patches of water ice are hidden just under the new snow. PLEASE REMEMBER: o Any new precipitation may increase the avalanche danger, this includes wind transported snow. o Obtain latest weather forecast before starting out. o For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers: AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters. o THIS AVALANCHE BULLETIN WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT. Brian Johnston, Snow Ranger USDA Forest Service White Mountain National Forest