Avalanche Advisory for Tuckerman and Huntington Ravines
Posted: 6:49 a.m., Thursday, January 4, 2007

Tuckerman Ravine has Moderate and Low avalanche danger. The Lip has Moderate avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Unstable slabs are possible in steep terrain. Use caution in steeper terrain. The Bowl, Headwall and Left Gully have Low avalanche danger. Natural avalanches are very unlikely and human triggered avalanches are unlikely except in isolated pockets. Normal caution is advised. Hillman's Highway, the Lower Snowfields, the Little Headwall, and Right Gully have little to no snow in them so the 5 Scale danger rating does not pertain to these areas. Forecasts for these locations will begin when needed.

Huntington Ravine is still under a General Avalanche Advisory. A General Advisory is issued when instabilities are isolated within the entire forecast area. However it's important to realize that avalanche activity may occur within these locations before the issuance of a 5-scale forecast. This is a critical fact to remember. Under a General Advisory you need to make your own avalanche stability assessments before venturing into any open slopes.

High pressure will once again dominate today as temperatures continue to increase under sunny skies. The summits should push close to 40 degrees F, although high winds will deny any true basking. Solar gain will occur in avalanche terrain today assisting with stabilization but shifting winds from the NW to the W at 50-70mph+ (80-110kph) will keep any real heat absorption to a minimum. The exception to this will be strong lee southern facing aspects. Another weather-maker is heading our way and once again Mount Washington is getting desperate to find its winter reputation of arctic tundra. Rain is forecasted to begin during the overnight and persist through Friday. Periods of mixed precipitation is anticipated, but temperatures above freezing will occur all the way to Washington's summit. These conditions will carry over into the weekend as record breaking temperatures are expected in certain areas around the State. We'll have more clarification tomorrow, but expect rain for the weekend with totals between .50-.75" (1.25-1.85cm). Rain will fall on some new slabs that have seen varying degrees of consolidation. Currently surface conditions are a mix of soft slab, "hard as steel" slab, and crust peppered with blue water ice and rock. In addition today's sun will affect some slope stability much greater than others because of the winds discussed earlier. All of this will generate a great degree of spatial variation, or difference in snow pack characteristics, across the Ravine as the onset of rain occurs tomorrow. We'll discuss more about that in Friday morning's advisory. In the mean time the bottom line for today is we continue to have some lingering stability issues in very strong lee areas, most notably in the Lip and Sluice. As you head south in the Bowl, wind scouring has made the stability issues more isolated so good route finding skills should keep you out of trouble there. However these isolated pockets do exist so pay attention as you travel from highly wind affected locations to softer slab.

Expect an elevated avalanche danger with the onset of rain and a danger of falling ice. Warm temperatures and heat from rainfall over 48-72 hours should weaken ice as we move through the weekend.

By now you should have refreshed your avalanche skills, installed some fresh high quality alkaline batteries in your avalanche beacon, and mastered its use. Don't forget your safe travel rules, techniques for assessing snow stability, and sign up for an avalanche course. Avalanche courses offered in the valley this winter are now on our website, tuckerman.org.

Please Remember:
•   It is impossible to accurately predict natural events, such as avalanches, in every instance. This Advisory is one tool to help you make your own decisions in avalanche terrain. It should be used along with safe travel techniques, snow stability assessments, an understanding of weather's effect on the snowpack, and proficiency in avalanche rescue.
 
•   You should obtain the latest weather forecast before heading into the mountains. Anticipate a changing avalanche danger when actual weather differs from the National Weather Service forecast.
 
•   For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers, the HMC Caretaker at the Harvard Cabin, and the AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters. This advisory will expire at midnight.

Christopher Joosen, Snow Ranger
USDA Forest Service
White Mountain National Forest
(603) 466-2713 TTY (603) 466-2856
 
This is the Official Tuckerman Ravine website.  Occasionally the remoteness of Tuckerman Ravine, weather, or communication problems prevent the website from being updated immediately.  Check the date, and if it is not the most recent, you can also call the National Forest Service's 24 hour avalanche hotline at (603) 466-2713 (ext. 4)

Avalanche Advisory Archives.

United States Avalanche Danger Descriptions.

chelle Canadienne de risque davalanche.

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