Avalanche Advisory for Tuckerman and Huntington Ravines
Posted: 8:05 a.m., Wednesday, January 10, 2007

Tuckerman Ravine has CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger today. Natural avalanches are possible and human triggered avalanches are probable. Be increasingly cautious in steeper terrain. Hillman's Highway, the Lower Snowfields, the Little Headwall and Right Gully have little to no snow in them so the 5 Scale danger rating does not pertain to these areas. Forecasts for these locations will begin when needed.

Huntington Ravine is still under a General Avalanche Advisory. A General Advisory is issued when instabilities are isolated within the entire forecast area. However it's important to realize that avalanche activity may occur within these locations before the issuance of a 5-scale forecast. This is a critical fact to remember. Under a General Advisory you need to make your own avalanche stability assessments before venturing into any open slopes.

After a long discussion about rating areas at the upper end of Moderate or the lower end of Considerable, we opted for the latter based on the potential for more upslope snow today. In the past 24 hours we have received another 2" (5 cm) of light density new snow at Hermit Lake and the Summit. The winds have been a big factor in keeping things at the Considerable rating as they have been out of the W and WNW at ideal loading speeds. With the possibility of a couple more inches of new snow today paired with WNW winds loading it into the ravines, we could see potential for natural activity. Field observations yesterday found a polished crust about 0.4" (1 cm) thick from Monday's mixed precipitation. This is providing a challenging surface for new snow to bond to making a nice bed surface.

We have been at an elevated avalanche danger for several days in response to stability issues on existing bed surfaces. It is worth pointing out that bed surfaces in our forecast areas vary in size. The Bowl and Lip do not have the potential for large areas of instability rather large pockets of unstable snow. Left Gully and the southern side of Tuckerman currently have the largest avalanche paths. These areas can and have produced avalanches that are much larger than other areas could dream of producing under their current snow cover. As we have been mentioning areas that have had no snow are slowly building up bed surfaces. These areas are the ones covered under a General Advisory right now and it is important to realize that avalanches can still occur in these locations.

The weather is taking a turn for the better with much colder air in place and it is expected to stick around for a while. Be prepared for temperatures below 0 F and high winds if you plan on heading up above treeline. We are starting to keep an eye on a system that may bring us some snow Sunday night into Monday. We will keep you posted.

Please Remember:
•   It is impossible to accurately predict natural events, such as avalanches, in every instance. This Advisory is one tool to help you make your own decisions in avalanche terrain. It should be used along with safe travel techniques, snow stability assessments, an understanding of weather's effect on the snowpack, and proficiency in avalanche rescue.
 
•   You should obtain the latest weather forecast before heading into the mountains. Anticipate a changing avalanche danger when actual weather differs from the National Weather Service forecast.
 
•   For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service Snow Rangers, the HMC Caretaker at the Harvard Cabin, and the AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center or Hermit Lake Shelters. This advisory will expire at midnight.

Brian Johnston, Snow Ranger
USDA Forest Service
White Mountain National Forest
(603) 466-2713 TTY (603) 466-2856
 
This is the Official Tuckerman Ravine website.  Occasionally the remoteness of Tuckerman Ravine, weather, or communication problems prevent the website from being updated immediately.  Check the date, and if it is not the most recent, you can also call the National Forest Service's 24 hour avalanche hotline at (603) 466-2713 (ext. 4)

Avalanche Advisory Archives.

United States Avalanche Danger Descriptions.

Échelle Canadienne de risque d’avalanche.

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